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FORECASTING THE ONSET OF CLOUD-GROUND LIGHTNING USING S-POL AND NLDN DATA
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Title
FORECASTING
THE
ONSET
OF
CLOUD-GROUND
LIGHTNING
USING
S-POL
AND
NLDN
DATA
Author
Ramakrishnan, Kartik
Keywords
Dissertations, Academic -- Engineering and Computer Science
Engineering and Computer Science -- Dissertations, Academic
Forecasting
Lightning
S Pol
Abstract
The
maximum
number
of
thunderstorms
in the
United
States
occur
in
Central
Florida.
The
cloud-ground
lightning
from these
storms
is
responsible
for
extensive
damage
to
life
and
property.
The
lightning
from these
storms
is
also
responsible
for
delays
and
cancellations
of
space
shuttle
launch
attempts
at the
Kennedy
Space
Center
(KSC)
and the
45th
Space
Wing
unmanned
launches
at
Cape
Canaveral
launch
facilities.
For these and
other
reasons
accurate
forecasting
of
cloud-ground
lightning
is
of
crucial
importance.
The
second
phase
of
NASA's
Tropical
Rainfall
Measuring
Mission
Texas
and
Florida
Underflights
project
(TEFLUN-B)
was
conducted
between
1st
August
and
30th
September
,
1998.
The
S-band
dual-polarization
radar
(S-Pol)
belonging
to the
National
Center
for
Atmospheric
Research
(NCAR)
was
part
of the
surface
based
facilities
during
this
project
, and was
located
at
Melbourne
,
Florida.
This
provided
an
excellent
opportunity
to
observe
Florida
thunderstorms
with the
help
of a
dual-polarization
radar.
This
project
aims
at
developing
cloud-ground
lightning
forecasting
signatures
by
analyzing
S-Pol
data
for
10
thunderstorms
that
occurred
over
the
Kennedy
Space
Center.
Time-height
trends
of
reflectivity
,
ice
and
graupel-hail
as
well
as
electric
potential
trends
for these
storms
are
taken
into
consideration
while
developing
the
forecasting
signatures.
This
thesis
proposes
that a
35dBZ
echo
at the
-5[degree]C
temperature
level
is
the
best
indicator
of
imminent
CG
lightning
with a
POD
of
90%
, an
FAR
of
10%
and a
CSI
of
81.8%.
An
electric
potential
level
of
approximately
1000
V/m
also
indicates
the
onset
of
cloud-ground
lightning.
An
analysis
of the
microphysical
structure
of the
thunderstorms
reveals
that the
presence
of
graupel-hail
at the
-10[degree]C
temperature
level
is
necessary
in
order
for
cloud-ground
lightning
to
occur.
Adviser
Kasparis, Takis
Publisher
University
of
Central
Florida
Degree
M.S.
Degree Discipline
Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering
Degree Grantor
Engineering and Computer Science
Degree Program
Electrical and Computer Engineering
Graduation Date
2004-08-01
Type
Master's thesis
Access Level
Public - Allow Worldwide Access
Release Date
2004-08-01
Repository
University Archives
Repository Collection
Electronic Theses and Dissertations
Identifier
CFE0000143
Access Link
http://purl.fcla.edu/fcla/etd/CFE0000143
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